None of us is as dumb as all of us!
Category: Biases & Traps
Oh, Our Humanity!
The most dangerous bias is the bias denied.
Precious Memories
What if you learned that most of your capital projects are performing 20 percent lower than reported?
Can Do!
Save the stretch goals for AFTER the decision is made
Monte Carlo Traps
Monte Carlo Simulation: Elegant, powerful, and usually dangerously misleading.
Decision Overload
Better big decision by timing big decisions.
Inhuman Cheating
When perseverance isn't a virtue
The Dark Side Of Goal Seek
Strategically withholding information from experts improves objectivity & accuracy
Straight From The Horse’s Mouth
What do you really want: great analysis or your first impressions repeated back to you?
Members Only
Vendors provide valuable contributions to our capital projects – but only after we are ready for their involvement.
Strategic Bets 