Monte Carlo Simulation: Elegant, powerful, and usually dangerously misleading.
Financial engineering does not transform a dubious project into a winner. When the spreadsheets describe a boost in value, check for new risks hiding below the surface.
We want to see confidence … but we first need candor.
Value, Risk… and Flexibility. In turbulent times, decision makers need flexibility when selecting the best solution.
Anticipating our competitors' response is our all too common blind spot.
Just how reliable are our business case risk assessments?
Checklists and templates can create an unhealthy, unhelpful plug & play mindset.
It’s time to approach information technology decisions for what they are… research & development.
Fostering more big risks at the local level for bigger wins.